Negative Volume Index (NVI)

The Negative Volume Index (NVI) is a cumulative volume-based indicator that focuses on days when volume decreases from the previous session. The core idea is that on low-volume days, informed traders—often referred to as “smart money”—are the ones making moves while the public stays on the sidelines.

Instead of tracking volume spikes, the NVI watches what happens when volume dries up, helping traders identify quiet accumulation, trend confirmations, and early signs of institutional positioning.

How NVI Works

The NVI only updates when the day’s volume is lower than the previous day. When volume drops:

  • If price increases, the NVI goes up

  • If price decreases, the NVI goes down

  • If volume increases, the NVI stays the same

This logic creates a cumulative line that tends to mirror price, but offers unique clues about hidden strength or weakness.

 
Volume Behavior NVI Reaction
Volume ↓ and Price ↑ NVI increases → possible accumulation
Volume ↓ and Price ↓ NVI decreases → possible distribution
Volume ↑ No NVI update → not a “smart money” day

Most traders use a 1,000 baseline to track whether the NVI is rising or falling relative to that long-term threshold.

How Traders Use It

The NVI is often paired with a moving average (usually 255-day EMA) to help confirm market bias:

  • If NVI is above the moving average, it suggests a bullish environment

  • If NVI is below, the bias may be bearish

  • Divergences between price and NVI can hint at fading momentum or hidden strength

Here’s how it’s commonly used:

Trend Confirmation

Use the NVI to confirm if a breakout is supported by smart money behavior.

Bullish Divergence

Price makes new lows, but NVI forms higher lows on low volume — a possible reversal signal.

Bearish Divergence

Price climbs, but NVI lags behind — a red flag that the move may lack solid backing.

Example Setup

You’re analyzing an index ETF that’s rising gradually. However, daily volume is lower than the previous day, and NVI is quietly pushing higher.

That’s a green flag.

Smart money could be accumulating during the quiet stretch. You enter the trend early—before retail traders pile in on high-volume days. Later, when the move accelerates and volume spikes, you’re already positioned.

This kind of early signal is what makes NVI so valuable.

Pros and Cons of Using RSI

Pros

  • Highlights subtle accumulation or distribution

  • Useful for confirming smart money behavior

  • Filters out noise from high-volume public-driven days

  • Strong when paired with price action or moving averages

Cons

  • Doesn’t update on high-volume days

  • May lag in fast-moving markets

  • Best suited for swing or long-term trades—not intraday use

When to Use the Negative Volume Index

Use NVI when you want to track smart money quietly entering or exiting positions. It works best on daily or higher timeframes and adds real value to trend confirmation strategies or divergence spotting.

If you’re serious about understanding who is behind the move, the Negative Volume Index helps you decode market activity during the calm—not just the chaos. Next up lets switch it up with the Positive Volume Index (PVI)